Taos County Drought

The harsh realities of water scarcity and climate change are acutely felt in Taos County, where a significant portion of the population and land is under severe drought conditions.

54.8%

Population Affected

Over 18,000 residents in Taos County are currently experiencing the direct impacts of drought conditions.

54.79%

Land in Severe Drought

More than half of the county's total land area is classified under Moderate to Severe Drought (D1-D2) categories.


These statistics underscore the urgent need for localized resilience strategies and collaborative action within Taos County.

New Mexico Water Scarcity

New Mexico faces severe water challenges, marked by historic drought and projected declines in water availability.

1,000+ years

Driest in over a millenium

New Mexico is experiencing its driest era in over a millennium, exacerbating existing water stress.

25-30%

Supply Decrease

Scientists project a significant decrease in available surface water and groundwater recharge over the next 50 years, equating to a staggering 750,000 acre-feet shortage.

Rio Grande Running Dry

lows on the Rio Grande have been below average for most of the last two decades. In 2022, the river dried up entirely through Albuquerque for the first time in 40 years, highlighting the urgent need for action.

Climate Volatility & Impacts

5° to 7°F

Drastic Temperature Spikes

New Mexico faces projected average temperature increases of 5°F to 7°F over the next 45 to 50 years. This severe rise will accelerate evapotranspiration and intensify drought conditions across the region.

96.6%

Precipitation Rarely Reaches the Ground

Despite 8 to 12 inches of annual average precipitation, a staggering 96.6% is lost to evaporation and thirsty plants. Only 1.6% runs off into rivers and streams, and merely 1.8% recharges groundwater aquifers.


These factors combine to create a critical and escalating water crisis, threatening both ecological stability and human communities.

unknown link

Severe Groundwater Reliance & Depletion

New Mexico's critical dependence on groundwater, forming over half its supply, is driving catastrophic aquifer depletion across the state.

52%

Total Water Supply

Groundwater provides over half of New Mexico's total water supply, creating immense pressure on finite resources.

81%

Public Systems Rely on Groundwater

A vast majority of public water systems and 78% of the state's drinking water rely entirely on groundwater.

120ft

Albuquerque Decline

The Albuquerque area experienced over 120 feet of decline in production wells between 1972 and 2012.

200ft

Gallup Decline

The Gallup area saw a 200-foot decline in groundwater levels in just a decade (1999–2009).


These significant declines highlight an unsustainable trajectory, necessitating urgent action to manage and conserve groundwater resources.

Critical Resource Data

Major Aquifers Show Long-Term Storage Declines

286.4 million acre-feet decline

High Plains Aquifer

The High Plains Aquifer, a vital source of groundwater for much of the central United States, has experienced a significant decline in recoverable water storage. By 2019, its storage was down approximately 286.4 million acre-feet (10%) from predevelopment levels, with total recoverable water standing at ~2.91 billion acre-feet.

Water availability is a binding constraint for growth and development decisions—carrying capacity requires groundwater and watershed intelligence in planning.

Planetary Boundaries: 7 of 9 Breached

The Planetary Health Check (PHC) 2025 Report reveals that seven of the nine critical Earth systems, which regulate our planet's stability and habitability, have now crossed their safe operating limits. This signals escalating risks for our future.


Planetary Boundaries : 7 of 9 Breached

1

Climate Change

Rising global temperatures and extreme weather events.

2

Biodiversity Loss

Accelerated extinction rates and ecosystem degradation.

3

Deforestation

Widespread loss of critical forest ecosystems.

4

Freshwater Disruption

Unsustainable water usage and pollution.

5

Altered Nutrient Cycles

Excess nitrogen and phosphorus runoff impacting ecosystems.

6

Ocean Acidification

Increased CO2 absorption by oceans threatening marine life.

7

Novel Entities

Accumulation of human-made substances (e.g., plastics, chemicals) in the environment.

Climate volatility

2024: The Warmest Year on NOAA's Record

+1.29°C

20th-Century

Global land and ocean temperature in 2024 was +1.29°C above the 20th-century average

+1.46°C

Pre-Industrial

Temperature reaching +1.46°C above the 1850–1900 "pre-industrial" baseline.

Ecological conditions are shifting fast enough that communities need planning systems that continuously integrate updated climate/ecosystem signals into zoning, infrastructure, and risk decisions.

Global Risks Report

WEF Survey Highlights Top Ecological Risks

The World Economic Forum's Global Risks Perception Survey consistently identifies environmental and ecological issues as the most severe long-term global threats over the next decade. These reflect consensus across 1,300+ experts worldwide:

Extreme Weather Events

Ranked as the top long-term risk, increasing in intensity and frequency, impacting global economies and infrastructure.

Biodiversity Loss & Ecosystem Collapse

A high-impact risk contributing to food insecurity, resource scarcity, and ecological instability.

Critical Earth System Changes

Broad structural changes, including altered biogeochemical cycles and climate tipping points, pose systemic risks.

Natural Resource Shortages

Scarcity of water, fertile soil, and energy materials due to ecological degradation and population pressures.

Persistent Pollution

Air, water, and soil pollution from industrial, agricultural, and energy systems remains a critical long-term risk.

trust & fragmentation Challenges

Bridging Gaps in Trust and Data Management

ECOS is uniquely positioned to address critical deficiencies in public confidence and data infrastructure that hinder effective climate planning and community development.

Public Trust in Government Remains Low

Only 22% of Americans trust the federal government to do what is right “just about always/most of the time”. This lack of trust affects the acceptance and implementation of crucial community initiatives.

State IT Leaders Cite Data Fragmentation

Only 22% of states report having an enterprise-wide data quality program, indicating widespread data silos and integration challenges.

Operational Challenges

Operational Barriers to Ecological Intelligence

Even when ecological data exists, institutions struggle to integrate it into planning workflows—often due to data quality, siloed systems, and limited capacity. At the same time, low trust and low participation in local governance increase the stakes for transparent, well-substantiated planning. ECOS strengthens legitimacy by grounding decisions in shared, verifiable ecological intelligence.

Public-sector GenAI Access Still Limited

75%

Lack access to GenAI

Deloitte’s survey indicates that approximately 75% of government organizations have fewer than 40% of their employees with access to GenAI tools. This highlights a significant operational gap.

City Leaders Flag Capacity Constraints

70%

Lack staff capacity

70% of cities cite lack of staff capacity as a major barrier, according to a recent National League of Cities survey. This underscores a pervasive resource limitation across municipal governments.